Tuesday 22 November 2016

TPP is 'meaningless' after Trump pulls the plug

President-elect Donald Trump said Monday that one of his first actions in office will be to withdraw the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), an agreement he had slammed as a "disaster" during his campaign.
The move shatters a key pillar of President Obama's drive to strengthen U.S. influence in Asia and throws the Western world's trade agenda into disarray. The TPP, which was aimed at tightly linking the U.S. economy with 11 others around the Pacific, took years to negotiate.
"The TPP without the United States is meaningless," Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said Monday during a visit to Argentina.
China didn't take part in the TPP talks. And Beijing has been pushing its own trade deals with leaders from around the Pacific.
"The prospect of the U.S. turning inward in its economic strategy means that China has freer rein to become the focal point of regional integration efforts," said Mireya Solis, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. "The U.S. appears as largely bereft of a constructive economic strategy towards the most dynamic regionThe Beijing-backed plan, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), covers 16 countries. If it succeeds, China would be in a strong position to lead a bigger, more ambitious free trade area in the future.
Since Trump won the U.S. election, Beijing has stepped up its efforts to promote its project, including at last weekend's summit of leaders from Asia-Pacific nations in Lima, the Peruvian capital.
Unlike the TPP, China's plan doesn't currently include any countries in the Americas. But a senior Chinese official, Tan Jian, said at the Lima summit that more nations, including Peru and Chile, are now looking to join the RCEP, according to Reuters. in the world."
The Beijing-backed plan, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), covers 16 countries. If it succeeds, China would be in a strong position to lead a bigger, more ambitious free trade area in the future.
Since Trump won the U.S. election, Beijing has stepped up its efforts to promote its project, including at last weekend's summit of leaders from Asia-Pacific nations in Lima, the Peruvian capital.
Unlike the TPP, China's plan doesn't currently include any countries in the Americas. But a senior Chinese official, Tan Jian, said at the Lima summit that more nations, including Peru and Chile, are now looking to join the RCEP, according to Reuters.
Encompassing around 40% of global GDP, the TPP was expected to provide a boost to exports from countries like Malaysia, Vietnam and Japan. Some experts have suggested that the other 11 member countries should continue to pursue the deal without the U.S.
"A relaunched TPP could be the best vehicle for these countries to adapt to the new -- and harsher -- reality of international trade in a world increasingly consumed by populism," Solis wrote in a blog post after Trump's election victory.
Some Pacific nations appear to remain hopeful that Trump's decision isn't final.
"We've got to just give the Americans time," Australian Trade Minister Steven Ciobo told reporters on Tuesday. "What it comes down to is the Americans, I think, need to have time to weigh up the pros and the cons further."
But Trump, who spent much of his campaign blasting international trade deals, doesn't sound like he needs more time. The Republican has promised to renegotiate or tear up NAFTA, the free trade deal between Mexico, Canada and the U.S. A separate planned deal between the U.S. and the 28 members of the EU -- the TTIP -- is also considered by most observers to be dead in the water.

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